The logic of political survival

I: A theory of political incentives

1. Reigning in the prince

2. The theory: definitions and intuition

3. A model of the selectorate theory

II: Policy choice and political survival

4. Institutions for Kleptocracy or growth

5. Institutions, peace, and prosperity

6. War, peace, and coalition size

7. Political survival

III: Choosing institutions

8. Institutional preferences: change from within

9. The enemy outside and within: war and changes of leaders and regimes

10. Promoting peace and prosperity.